Re: Greens. I would love to be proven wrong and if they have a shot anywhere you figure it would be Victoria so more power to you.
Is the WA thing really a rejection of One Nation or was it the Libs getting done and One Nation copped it as well because of the recent preference deal? I'm a QLD sexboy so maybe I just run into more of Pauline's posse.
FUCK OFF YOU POMMIE BASTARD.
The Greens are doing pretty well in Victoria on scales you don't see. Recent council elections led to a lot of new Greens representatives on the local level, and in pretty much all the 'just outside Melbourne' federal seats the Greens got fairly close to being elected. I'm expecting we'll see some of those seats flip in the next federal election.
You can argue a lot of things about the WA election, really, and I'm not sure how true any of it would be, but I do think some of it was a 'rejection' of One Nation. I think what we're seeing isn't exactly people deliberately going against them, but more that they just don't have the pull that we kept being told they did. The media loved the notion that she was 'Australia's Trump' but she just doesn't have that pull or an environment to incite it. She had some lucky timing during the federal election, but now that even that small amount of shine has scratched off since then, and we're seeing her get rejected not actively, but as her returning to the 'sideshow' image of her she had for so long.
I don't think we'll be completely rid of PHON come next federal election--they're polling extremely well in Queensland to the point where I can't imagine them not getting a bit of a foothold--but they won't be seen as the New Third Force for very long.